Monday, 08 July 2019 16:33 Written by Jay Amado
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2025 OBWL Mock Draft


2025-Dryden-01
Colorado SG Erasmo Dryden is near the top of almost every OBWL team's draft board.  Will the 19 year-old sophomore from Colorado become the #1 overall pick in the 2025 Rookie Draft?

 

1. Chicago Blaze - SG Erasmo Dryden

Height: 6-4 | Weight: 205 | College: Colorado

Erasmo Dryden is the best shooting guard prospect that I have ever seen, and should be a lock for the #1 overall pick. The 19-year-old is also the most pro-ready teenager that I can ever recall declaring for the draft. He started showing up on radars last year, as he burst onto the scene with one of the greatest freshman seasons that the OCBL has ever seen (20.9 ppg, 4.4 rpg, 2.3 apg, and a deep tournament run) while being named the National Freshman of the Year. He followed that up, by becoming a more efficient scorer this year, finishing the year with an average of 23.8 ppg on 48.8 percent from the field and 41.6 percent from behind the arc. At 6-4 and 205 pounds, he's got an OBWL-ready body, while also possessing top-end speed for the position and being an outstanding leaper. He's a gym rat who doesn't tire, and should be able to give huge minutes from the second he enters the league.

Some will point to the lack of strength as a downside, and though he is indeed not Hercules in the weight room, there are definitely weaker players. Coupled with the fact that he does most of his work away from the basket--he could be one of the better shooters in the league one day--this shouldn't be much of a factor. The same goes for those who point to a lack of playmaking on the defensive end: while he won't generate much in the steals or blocks departments, he's high-effort player on both ends of the floor, who posseses the potential to be a lockdown matchup defender.

Chicago has been in tank mode for several years now, as they scraped the bottom, all leading up to this season. With the budget mostly intact, enough cap space to bring in multiple players for big money, and more young talent than any other team in the league, Erasmo should find himself in a situation to succeed immediately, and in the long-run. I think that he will be an all-star soon, and a superstar in this league for years to come.

2. Quebec Coyotes - PG Francis Ellender

Height: 6-1 | Weight: 183 | College: Duke

Francis Ellender has the potential skillset to be one of the league leaders in assists for years to come.The 20-year-old spent three years at Duke, culminating with a deep run last year in which he averaged 11.2 ppg, 6.8 apg, 2.8 rpg, and 1.2 spg in 31.6 minutes. With Drysden off the board at #1 overall, things immediately start to get a lot more interesting as teams will begin to balance need with best player available. I think the Coyotes will go need #2 overall, and grab the hands-down best point guard in the draft from Duke. While he is never going to bean elite scorer, he has flashed the ability to score from anywhere on the court; from at the rim, to the mid-range, to beyond the arc. Like Drysden, while he may not have the ability to generate many plays on the defensive end, he will make life a living hell for other point guards every night, and indeed is perhaps the most out-of-the-box ready defender available this year, and never fouls, to boot. He's got the patience, stamina, and talent to be a guy who can play 38+ minutes per game in his career.

People who say Ellender would be a reach this high, also have fair arguments. He lacks top-end speed, meaning that he's more suited for a half court offensive team. Though he flashed some signs of being able to score from anywhere, at the same time he was also inefficient and inconsistent. While these arguments are true, his skillset and potential, combined with need could see him go off the board #2 overall.

In Quebec, Frederic Johnson was awarded with a 43-million dollar deal last year, and had the best season of his career in his first full year in town. That likely rules out Daniel Garretson from contention, making this a two-man race between Randolph Wright and Ellender. However, with both Joe Spurlock and Horacio Vega being talented SFs who Quebec has also invested in, I think Ellender is the natural fit moving forward. They've got scorers designed to play in a halfcourt system, so the fit is natural.

3. Anaheim Archers - SF Randolph Wright

Height: 6-7 | Weight: 238 | College: Duke

The Anaheim Archers surprised many last year when they decided to blow their team to smithereens. Gone is the dominant team of yesteryear, and this offseason marks the official beginning of the new era. If Ellender indeed goes #2 overall, I think Eric Stelle would be ecstatic to grab Randolph Wright with the third pick. Going just one pick after his Blue Devils teammate, Wright has the versatility to do a bit of everything, but will make his living in the OBWL as a lockdown defender. He's big, strong, fast, and makes plays in both the passing lane and in the post (1.9 spg, 1.3 bpg) without fouling (1.4 fpg). He boards a little bit (6.0 rpg), scores a bit (9.7 ppg), and passes a bit (2.2 apg).

On the negative side, Wright will probably never have the offensive production to be an all-star, nor the type of player that puts butts in seats--a must for Anaheim's new ownership group. He also has durability issues, after being limited to just 13 games last season, but these issues should not prevent him from going in the top-4, as his impact on the game will be immeasurable.

The Archers have three of the first nine picks, and a million different directions that they can go. They have a long list of needs, and Wright's versatility gives them the ability to continue to draft best player available, regardless of position.

4. New Jersey Evolution - PF Daniel Garretson

Height: 6-9 | Weight: 212 | College: UNLV

Sitting at #4 overall after entering with the second best odds, Evolution fans were initially disappointed, but with the depth of this class, dropping from 2 to 4 doesn't really hurt them much. Many people would argue that Daniel Garretson is the second best player in this draft. The 19-year-old looks to have an upside that is unmatched amongst big men this year. He looks to be the type of big man who will be a threat to put up double-doubles every single night. He's got a great array of moves in the post, and can get up and block shots. He can pass the ball extremely well, and also does a fantastic job protecting it.

Garretson, however, does not come without flaws. Though he's 6-9, he weighed in at just 212 pounds at the combine. He is completely raw, and unknown on every level, so his projections are based more on workout numbers than actual production, as he averted just 2.3 points, 2.1 rebounds, 0.9 blocks, and 10.2 minutes per game in his lone season in Las Vegas, before turning pro.

The Evolution, because they are not yet a contender, are the perfect landing spot for Garretson. There are rumors that they are going to be making a move for a veteran at his same position, but that could work in their favor as well. He will not be expected to perform right away, and will have plenty of time to marinate and develop before coming in. Together with Ronald Richardson and Luis Engram, New Jersey is positioned to have an uber-talented team a couple years from now. The team will just have to be patient.

5. Minnesota Marauders - PF Ray Weston

Height: 6-9 | Weight: 229 | College: Syracuse

Ray Weston stepped onto campus in upstate New York as one of the top recruits in the country, and unlike Garretson strutted directly into the court, starting 33 games for the Orange. He flashed an ability to be absolutely dominant on the boards (9.8 rpg) and as a low post playmaker on defense (2.5 bpg) in just under 30 minutes per night. He also showed some occasional dominance in the offensive paint, though he only scored 7.7 ppg.

Though he stepped right in amongst the big boys, Weston does have some things that need to be developed. On offense, he has a tendency to disappear sometimes, and can be an up-and-down scorer. He was not very efficient at all, on offense, putting up just a 40.5 field goal percentage, while also turning the ball over 1.6 times per game.

At #5 overall, Weston is a virtual lock for the Marauders. He pairs perfectly with last year's #3 overall pick, Andrew Evans, who skews heavily towards the offensive end of the floor. Weston can make up for his lack of rebounds, while also providing an ideal help defender and not commanding shots from Evans. This pick is a gimme.

6. Los Angeles Chaos - SF Jose Gaynor

Height: 6-7 | Weight: 245 | College: Northwestern

Jose Gaynor is like Erasmo Dryden in that they should both be ready to play out of the gates, and that they still both have a ton of upside. However, Gaynor's motor isn't what Dryden's is, and Jose will probably never be the minutes monster that Erasmo and the others taken above him will be, and that is the sole reason he's being placed after them. This is also the last pick of what I'm calling the second tier (Dryden is in his own). At 19-years-old, Gaynor should make a run at Rookie if the Year. He's got a size/strength/athleticism combination that should make him an explosive scorer on day one. He prefers to do his work in the paint, and uses his time there to draw contact and get to the free throw line quite often. As just a freshman, Gaynor scored 12 points and grabbed 3.7 rebounds per game at Northwestern.

Though Gaynor scored well, he also made a lot of mistakes and bad decisions, both in terms of shot selection (40.3 fgp, 1.12 pps) and decision-making (2.6 tpg). His turnovers, in particular, are going to be something that could cost his team dearly at the OBWL level. He also racked up 2.4 fouls in just 23 minutes per game, so this could be something to keep an eye on in the future.

The Chaos have been perpetual-underachievers, as a team that always has a lot of individual talent, but can't seem to put it together. With a very large payroll next year, the team will likely look very similar. With Lenny Davis, Octavio Morrison, and Matt Torres back for another season, there's reason to believe that they can get back to the playoffs. However, aside from Andrew Culbertson, the team is not long on young, potentially-keeper players. Gaynor is in a unique position in that he can bridge the gap between those two groups, helping now and in the future.

7. Anaheim Archers - SF Carroll Lerch

Height: 6-6 | Weight: 210 | College: Georgia

Carroll Lerch is in a similar model to several other players in this draft in that he looks like he could one day he an absolutely dominant scorer. However, unlike some of the others, he's got a very long way to go to get there. Lerch was an extremely productive scorer for the Bulldogs in his two years, winning the SEC Freshman of the Year Award in 2024, before exploding even further during his sophomore campaign where he averaged an efficient (47.4/73.0/43.7 shooting line) 17.5 ppg in just 27.5 minutes. He's got a quick first step, and outstanding hops that enable him to draw lots of free throws, despite being more of a jump shot taker.

Lerch, for all of his offensive weaponry, offers little else though, which could make him a reach, even at #7. He's a terrible ball handler and decision maker (2.7 tpg, 2.6 apg), and though he has shown some promise as a post defender, he has a long way to go to scratch the surface there.

With Randolph Wright joining the Archers at #3, the pick of Lerch at #7 makes more sense. In aggregate, they are a superstar wing, while individual, they are each very good. They complement one another well, thus allowing the Archers to play them together, and giving the upstarts some versatility. Lerch makes a lot of sense here.

8. Portland Lumberjacks - SG Don McDaniel

Height: 6-3 | Weight: 194 | College: Xavier

Another pick, another potential offensive star. The case for McDaniel, though, could be even more interesting. He's similar to Daniel Garretson: in workouts, and at the combine he's an absolute world-beater. Somebody who wants the ball, no matter where he is, and wants the last shot. He shows flashes of being able to score from anywhere in the building, with uncanny strength for a player who weighs in at less than 200 pounds, he's also a successful rebounder (5.2 rpg). He's an attacker--aggressive at all times, while also being able to set up his teammates (2.6 apg).

However, the Don McDaniel who shows promise individually, sometimes does not show up in games. His aggressive style causes him to tire quickly, which affects his ability to remain efficient. I'm 24.6 mpg, McDaniel put up nearly 11 shots, and scored with just a 37.3 fgp, and 1.06 pps average. Though he's strong for his size, he also may be a bit slow for it.

The Lumberjacks are an interesting case, which makes them very difficult to project. They've got young talent everywhere, but still somehow have needs everywhere. With guys like Irving Silas and Yevgeny Ilgauskas already playing the same position, it may make more sense to go with Maryland's Rubin Davis, but he doesn't possess the same potential-explosiveness of McDaniel. I think that when you've got as long of a history of struggling as Portland has had, you've got to go with the higher upside.

9. Anaheim Archers - PF David Sage

Height: 6-11 | Weight: 258 | College: California

I was hesitant to project this one here, as you can hear the Archers GM criticizing the strength of this near-seven-footer, but in the end, I think the upside may be too high to pass up here. Sage is very fast for his size. He's got a developing-array of post moves that allow him to get efficient scores near the rim (8.7 ppg on 46.4 fgp), can pass the ball reasonably well from the post, and has the potential to be one of the better defensive rebounders in the entire league, while also being solid on the other end (8.7 rpg). Sage lives and dies in the post, but can also switch out on shooters on pick-and-rolls.

As hinted at earlier, with a PF of his size, you'd like to see more strength, but what Sage lacks in strength, he makes up for in speed. He also projects as just an average defender at best, and has had foul troubles at Cal (2.8 fpg in 30.8 mpg). But, we're now in the area where you have to pick which weaknesses to trade off in order for strengths.

With a couple more athletic guys taken with their other two picks in the top-7, the Archers look for size and an inside presence here, as all of the point guards being reaches at this point. It also wouldn't be a surprise at all to see them trade one of these picks away.

10. Quebec Coyotes - SF Rubin Davis

Height: 6-7 | Weight: 240 | College: Maryland

Rubin Davis. Another teenage phenom. Another potential 20+ ppg scorer. Davis, like Don McDaniel, is a guy that the Lumberjacks will likely consider at #8 overall, and who is a volume-scorer that looks like an animal in shooting drills and workouts. He's got potential in leaking from his pores, and is a threat to score from anywhere. He's big, and a great athlete for his size, and once he gets a head of steam is hard to slow down. In addition to putting up some points (12.0 ppg) for the Terps last year, he also showcased some ability as a passer (2.5 apg) and rebounder (4.9 rpg).

Like McDaniel, Davis' performance in drills did not translate to a mass amount of production. The former High School All-American looked like he was going to be a very efficient scorer after his freshman year, but took a big step back, shooting just 40.2/68.0/24.0 as a sophomore. While his potential is evident within minutes, so is the fact that right now, he's nowhere near ready to play yet. He'll need a few years of development before he's ready to give minutes.

With Francis Ellender coming in at #2, the Coyotes now look to another weapon for him to go to during his career. There's no pressure for him to perform right away with Spurlock and Vega already on the roster, so this would be an ideal fit for Quebec and Davis.

11. South Florida Sharks - PF Darwin Weisman

Height: 6-9 | Weight: 238 | College: Northwestern

At this point in the draft, Darwin Weisman would probably be a bit of a reach, but with a new roster, staff, and not a lot of talent in place, it wouldn't be a surprise to see GM Jay Amado go down the board and try to replicate Johnny Newton. Weisman has monster strength, and does all of his offensive work in the paint. He's probably the best defensive rebounder in the draft (9.5 rpg), and has the potential to be a great shot blocker (2.1 bpg) without committing fouls (1.7 fpg).

There's good reason why this would be considered a reach in the lottery. Weisman, while strong and big, has almost no offensive game to speak of, either as a scorer (5.7 ppg, 41.4/69.9/0.0) or passer (1.4 apg), and his matchup defense projects as just average. He's also not the quickest player, so would be limited in transition both ways.

The Sharks, as mentioned, are in position for a complete re-launch. Rumors are that Justin Malone has been traded to a division rival, and the team is projected to have nearly 30 million in cap space. While Weisman may not have star power, the Sharks would be sure that he could fill the role of rebounder and help defender, whether he improves or not.

12. Boston Buzzards - SG Kirby Cohen

Height: 6-5 | Weight: 197 | College: Pittsburgh

Closing out the lottery are the Boston Buzzards who, like the Sharks, are positioned to completely restructure their team. What better way to close out than with another pure scorer. Cohen has the ability to take over any game with his scoring ability. He projects as having one of the best mid-range shots in this draft, and perhaps the league. As a JuCo transfer, he had just one season at Pitt, but in that time demonstrated what he was capable of, posting 16.3 ppg on a 48.6/64.7/44.0 line in only 23.8 minutes per game.

Kirby Cohen can score. Unfortunately, that's all Kirby Cohen can do. He turns the ball over more than anyone else who could go in the first round (3.3 tpg), and doesn't really distribute the ball (1.8 apg) or rebound (2.2 rpg) at all. Fortunately, his scoring ability alone will see him going early in this draft.

Sheldon Perkins will carry over on the Buzzards roster, and James Wall is also still on the roster. However, as already stated, the Buzzards are in position to sign two max players. While Cohen may never be a star, he could develop into a player who has a very long career as an instant-offense player, and could fill in nicely when Wall needs a break.

The Rest of Round One

So there you have it. The 2025 mock lottery. As we all know though, there are 28 picks in the first round. Here's how we see the rest of the draft playing out, as well as some brief comments on the players and situations.

13. Sacramento Snipers - SG Edward Bibb
Height: 6-4 | Weight: 190 | College: Tennessee

A solid all-around player who never turns the ball over, and is a very good athlete. Could develop for a couple years in preparation of giving Emmert a breather.

14. Los Angeles Chaos - SG Joe Martinez
Height: 6-4 | Weight: 202 | College: Rutgers

Efficient scorer who creates turnovers and is great at starting fast breaks. At 19, will also need a couple years of development before he's ready.

15. Ft. Worth Dragoons - SF Earl Lett
Height: 6-7 | Weight: 202 | College: Texas

One of the most OBWL-ready players in this draft. Elite defender for his age, and amazing size/athleticism/explosiveness ratio. Can play right away, but no room for growth.

16. Detroit Muscle - PF Charles Braddock
Height: 6-9 | Weight: 242 | College: Illinois

Great post player on both ends of the floor. Just 19, but doesn't have any rebounding ability to play forward and is probably too small to play guard. Did still be able to use his size and strength to get buckets though.

17. Kentucky Stallions - PG Joseph Powell
Height: 6-1 | Weight: 197 | College: Alabama

Elite speed and potential mid-range jump shot. Defending AmCon champs could lose Cecil Means in free agency. Will need time to develop, but could eventually be a starter in this league.

18. Vancouver Highlanders - PG Thomas Crawley
Height: 5-11 | Weight: 199 | College: Colorado

Crawley is an elite passer already who should also score some points, but has molasses speed and is small. Michael Keyes may have his days in Vancouver numbered, and the Highlanders play a slow pace so he could fit well.

19. Minnesota Marauders - PF Garrett Atkins
Height: 6-9 | Weight: 244 | College: Arizona State

Could become an elite scorer in the post, with great strength. Also potential to be an above average defender. Lacks rebounding ability and will take time to develop.

20. Manhattan Swing - SG Chris Warren
Height: 6-3 | Weight: 181 | College: Tennessee

Elite scorer who could come in and play right away. Can't start, but could provide the Swing with another scorer, and give Ervin Glaser another target to pass to and give the aging Thomas Stanley some time off.

21. Honolulu Inferno - PF Brent Farber
Height: 7-0 | Weight: 293 | College: Arkansas-Pine Bluff

Will instantly be one of the biggest and strongest players in the entire OBWL. Leaves a lot to be desired on the defensive end, but is a solid rebounder and has to potential to be a decent scorer.

22. Arizona Thunderbirds - PG William Church
Height: 5-10 | Weight: 181 | College: Kansas State

Decent across the board, but struggled with efficiency during two years at Kansas State. Can rebound well, and give the Thunderbirds a replacement should Harry White's career finally be over.

23. Quebec Coyotes - SG John Womble
Height: 6-3| Weight: 208 | College: Maryland

Broke out as a junior averaging 20.4 ppg on 50.9/68.8/49.3 before going pro. 3-and-D player with a high motor, but who lacks athleticism.

24. Toronto Huskies - C Ike Reed
Height: 6-8 | Weight: 217 | College: UNLV

Played at UNLV, like Charles Flowers. The aging Huskies need players to come in and play now, with no budget room either. Reed can defend, rebound, and can score a little. Not much potential though.

25. St. Louis Sun Kings - PG Jimmy Velazquez
Height: 6-1 | Weight: 206 | College: Northwestern

Great shooter and efficient scorer. Can also pass the ball without turning it over, while generating steals. No matchup defense whatsoever though.

26. Philadelphia Americans - PF Thomas Winn
Height: 6-9 | Weight: 236 | College: Seton Hall

Defender and rebounder with fantastic strength. Kevin Gordon's deal is coming due, and Erik Thompson is a free agent this year. Winn may be able to come in and play right away.

27. Honolulu Inferno - SF Andres Caban
Height: 6-6 | Weight: 219 | College: Maine

Efficient scorer who is just average on defense. Above-average athlete and ball handler. The Inferno are determined to build solely through the draft, and Caban could at a minimum make the team.

28. Honolulu Inferno - SG Rich Davisson
Height: 6-6 | Weight: 227 | College: Mississippi State

Rare mid-range game with decent quickness. Handles the ball like it's on a string, so could potentially play some point guard too.

 

 

 

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